Monday, June 29, 2009
Just a quick update today; currently three different investigations are being conducted including a new energy gap analysis using a more complex model. There is a reasonable probability that the overall estimation of 4.9 quadrillion Btus is too high; therefore new studies will be carried out using smaller values. However, it is difficult to conclude, despite energy efficiency measures, that energy requirements in 2020 or 2030 will be lower than energy requirements in 2007. Further study on this issue will be conducted because it seems that most efficiency studies related to the ACES make some somewhat unrealistic assumptions in order to generate more favorable results. The biggest problem is the most important element when discussing renewable growth rates is the energy requirements for the future, but every organization available seems to hypothesize a significantly different expectation.